How we blew through Stage 2
Written as of 4/10:
Stage 2 Red Flags Summary
(“Erosion of Democratic Norms and Civil Protections”)
These are drawn from comparative political analysis of authoritarian transitions (e.g., Levitsky & Ziblatt, Freedom House, historical fascist regimes).
🟥 Legal & Judicial Undermining
- ❌ Nationwide injunctions outlawed — Congress limits courts' ability to check executive power.
- ❌ Administration ignoring court rulings — eg. deportations and social media bans continue despite injunctions.
- ❌ DOJ barring lawyers from attending legal orgs like the ABA.
- ❌ Weaponizing the DOJ to issue gag orders and suppress testimony.
- ❌ Felony charges for peaceful protestors.
- ❌ Consent decrees to govern university speech.
🟥 Emergency & Executive Powers Expansion
- ❌ Formal declaration of emergency powers.
- ❌ Alien Enemies Act & Insurrection Act positioned for domestic use.
- ❌ Indefinite detention of non-citizens in foreign prisons (El Salvador).
- ❌ Plans to deport U.S. citizens based on ideology or “foreign ties.”
🟥 Suppression of Expression & Identity
- ❌ Shadowbanning and takedowns of journalists’ posts.
- ❌ Mandating deadnaming by banning nicknames in communications.
- ❌ Targeting email pronoun users in the press.
- ❌ Weaponization of language to enforce conformity (e.g., anti-trans speech mandates).
- ❌ Book bans and control of academic curriculum (already in motion).
🟥 Economic Manipulation
- ❌ Stock market manipulation via presidential tweets.
- ❌ Massive tariffs on all imports (10–40%, now 104% on Chinese goods).
- ❌ Targeting of prescription medications in tariff rounds.
- ❌ Revoking Social Security Numbers for immigrants.
- ❌ Asset seizure laws prepped under IEEPA.
🟥 Militarization & Internal Control
- ❌ Plans to use the Insurrection Act against U.S. citizens.
- ❌ Construction of fencing around the White House (physical fortressification).
- ❌ Surveillance escalation via NSLs and warrantless monitoring.
🟥 Human Rights & Civil Liberties Violations
- ❌ Disappearing legal residents at the border.
- ❌ Plans for mass deportation based on ideology.
- ❌ SSNs revoked to kill people’s economic lives.
- ❌ Restrictions on immigration attorneys’ access to clients.
How Close Are We to Stage 3?
Stage 3 = "Rapid Consolidation of Power / Full Authoritarian Lock-In"
At this stage, we typically see:
- Martial law or military used against civilians
- Widespread suspension of rights (e.g., due process)
- Borders close to prevent exit
- Mass arrests and surveillance of dissidents
- Nationalization or seizure of private assets
We are now 1–2 major moves away.
If:
- The Insurrection Act is invoked on or near April 20th (as expected), and
- Border controls or asset seizures begin in the days after...
That may be the tipping point.