September 7th Tracker Update

🚨 CRITICAL UPDATE - September 7th, 2025
The regime has entered Stage 8, Military Expansion, with the September 2 attack on Venezuelan vessel, killing 11. Combined with the faltering economy (only 22,000 jobs added in August, unemployment at 4.3%), the regime appears to be following the hyper-radicalization trajectory toward collapse within 5-15 years. International law violations, nuclear submarine deployment, and domestic military occupation suggest imminent escalation to the full expansionist phase.

🔴 Stage 1: Soft Authoritarianism – ✅ COMPLETE
✅ Disregard of court orders: Multiple federal courts ruled IEEPA tariffs illegal, but they remain in effect pending appeals. Administration continues immigration raids despite federal court restraining orders.
✅ Emergency powers without checks: 176 executive orders, 45 memoranda, 78 proclamations signed as of July 30. National emergency declared April 2 for "trade deficit" enabling IEEPA tariff authority.
✅ Mass disinformation: Trump fired Bureau of Labor Statistics Commissioner claiming job data manipulation without evidence.
✅ Journalist targeting: SEC withdrew 14 rule proposals from previous administration; new regulatory framework targeting media continues.
✅ Legal residents and citizens deported without due process: TPS ended for 900,000+ people from Venezuela, Haiti, Nepal, Honduras, Nicaragua despite ongoing legal challenges.
✅ Retaliation against whistleblowers: Federal employee loyalty vetting expanded; Schedule F revival strips civil service protections from tens of thousands.
✅ Surveillance expansion: Federal cybersecurity agencies report "sophisticated and persistent" attacks on judiciary; surveillance infrastructure consolidating.

🟧 Stage 2: Escalation and Consolidation – ✅ COMPLETE
✅ Criminalization of protest: Jeffries' 8+ hour House speech to delay tax bill drew accusations of obstruction; democratic resistance increasingly criminalized.
✅ Militarized policing: Border Patrol raids expanded statewide despite federal court orders; heavily armed masked agents targeting locations 500+ miles from border.
✅ Institutional purges: Supreme Court enabled mass federal layoffs 8-1; at least 75,000 federal employees took deferred resignation with thousands more terminated.
✅ Exit blocks and extralegal deportations: Federal judges blocked deportation attempts including unaccompanied Guatemalan minors over Labor Day weekend; some citizens being denied entry/exit at borders.
✅ DOJ/FBI weaponization: Justice Jackson's lone dissent warned court enabling "unprecedented dismantling of Federal Government" with "demonstrated enthusiasm."
✅ Healthcare revocations: NIH grants frozen affecting research from asthma to pediatric cancer; HHS communications freeze through February 1.
✅ Clinic targeting: FDA limited COVID shots to 65+ only; vaccine access systematically undermined under RFK Jr.'s leadership.

🟨 Stage 3: Authoritarian Entrenchment – ✅ COMPLETE
✅ Mass detentions and deportations: $350 billion allocated for border security and 10,000 new ICE agents; largest expansion of enforcement apparatus in modern history.
✅ Border closures for dissenters: Borders have closed selectively to a secret "no fly list".
✅ Labeling of dissenters as enemies: Trump attacking Fed Chair Powell as "disaster" while demanding resignation; systematic targeting of institutional independence.
✅ Surveillance state solidification: DOGE staffers obtained access to master Social Security Number database raising security concerns.
✅ Asset seizure and retaliation: WTO funding suspended indefinitely; US withdrawing from international economic institutions.
✅ Court powers limited: Universal injunction ban eliminates judicial ability to check presidential power on national scale. Supreme Court specifically allowed Education Department layoffs to resume August 1; courts enabling rather than checking executive power.

🔻 Stage 4: Loyalty Consolidation – ✅ COMPLETE
✅ Elections as loyalty tests: 30 statewide ballot measures certified for November 2025 with voter ID requirements and restrictions expanding.
✅ IRS, DOJ weaponization: Treasury proposed 40% IRS workforce cut while expanding enforcement against political targets. Targeted lawsuits against political enemies.
✅ Coercion of governors, judges, civil servants: Federal cybersecurity agencies collaborating with DOJ/DHS on "enhanced protections" against judicial independence.
✅ Resource access based on loyalty: Social Security field office closures forcing disabled/elderly to travel 100+ miles; Medicare requiring prior authorization to deny benefits.
✅ Elite political buy-in: Corporate earnings calls showing tariff compliance; business community adapting to loyalty-based economic system.
✅ Mass rallies: Presidential fitness test reinstated as patriotic compliance measure; Cold War-era loyalty testing returning.
✅ Military deployment against civilians: National guard sent to liberal cities.
✅ Loyalty oaths and mandatory participation: Federal employees required to undergo loyalty vetting; ideological conformity required for advancement.

📛 Stage 5: Selective Targeting of Broad Groups – ✅ COMPLETE
✅ Disabled communities: NIH medical research grants frozen affecting asthma, pediatric cancer, Covid, and Ebola research; systematic denial of care. National registries being created for people with certain disabilities. Medicaid cuts funding for permanently disabled.
✅ LGBTQ+ communities: FDA eliminated "obsolete" protections; systematic rollback of healthcare access and civil rights. Hotline mental health programs cancelled.
✅ Immigrants and citizens of color: TPS mass terminations affecting 900,000+ people; Supreme Court enabled largest de-legalization in modern era.
✅ Judiciary intimidation: Judges being arrested for attempting to protect immigrants.
✅ Education dismantling: Destruction of Department of Education underway.
✅ Press targeting: Federal agencies ordered to stop public messaging pending review by Trump appointees. Broadcast networks are being sued by members of the administration for unfavorable coverage.
✅ Academic freedom attacks: University research grants frozen; scientific community under systematic attack. Most elite universities are choosing to settle with the administration, and roll back all diversity programs. Public school universities are removing tenure and allowing students to report professors who do not adhere to ideological purity.
✅ Military occupation zones: F-35 fighter jets deployed to Puerto Rico for anti-cartel operations; military expansion into civilian areas.
✅ Professional licensing threats: Healthcare professionals losing autonomy over medical decisions; systematic professional intimidation. Law firms are being forced to provide free services to advance government initiatives.

⚫ Stage 6: Mass Suppression and Economic Reordering – 🔥 75% COMPLETE
✅ State owned enterprises beginning: The government is now forcing companies to provide ownership stakes to the federal government, starting with the steel industry.
.✅ Currency destabilization: Unemployment rises to 4.3%, highest since 2021; Federal Reserve forced to cut rates amid economic downturn. Dollar fluctuates and weakens against global currencies. Some nations like Venezuela start dealing directly with trade partners rather than using the US dollar.
✅ Black markets emerging: Companies warning of Christmas shortages; supply chain disruptions creating scarcity and informal markets.
✅ Social hierarchy restructuring begins: Government purged of anyone but loyalists. Liberal cities warned of imminent paramilitary presence.
✅ Ideological purity required for civil service: Federal employees undergoing ideological vetting; compliance required for employment and advancement.
✅ Compliance through scarcity: Over $1 trillion in welfare cuts affecting 4.7 million SNAP participants; basic services tied to political loyalty.
✅ Economic warfare: $5 trillion tax cuts for wealthy while implementing $1,300 household tax increase through tariffs; systematic wealth transfer.
✅ Tariffs cause major slowdown: Government insists on illogical policy as unemployment rapidly grows and jobs report is weak for six months running. Small businesses can no longer get components from abroad and have begun to fail.

🔴 Stage 7: Eugenics and Demographic Engineering – 🔥 75% COMPLETE
✅ Medical exclusion from care: Vaccines no longer permits for large swaths of the population; Medicare denying services using deliberate AI-denials using prior auths; Medicaid services cut coverage for the poor and disabled.
✅ Reproductive control: COVID vaccine restrictions targeting pregnant women; Planned Parenthood funding restrictions; selective reproductive access.
✅ Cultural group erasure: Environmental rollbacks targeting Native American and minority communities; museum exhibits edit out all mentions of discrimination, racism, slavery, and subjugation.
✅ Vaccine access undermined: Vaccine board fired; mandates revised; prescriptions for some vaccines now required; $500M in mRNA vaccine research cancelled.
✅ Pronatalist policies for "superior" citizens: Medicare premium changes based on income; private market premiums rise based on tariff costs as Medicaid takes basic coverage necessary to safely have children away from the poor.
✅ Health agency dismantling: HHS, CDC, FDA, NIH facing massive cuts; systematic destruction of public health infrastructure.
✅ Forced fitness standards: Presidential fitness test reinstated as patriotic compliance measure.
✅ Attacks on immigrants: Hundreds of thousands of immigrants made illegal; mass raids taking place daily; plans to re-rendition Abrego Garcia to Eswatini.

⚠️ Stage 7 Nearly Complete - Systematic Demographic Engineering Active:
• Medical care denial based on group identity (✅ Fully operational)
• Reproductive control through selective access (✅ Medicare/vaccine restrictions)
• Cultural erasure through institutional destruction (✅ Research/education cuts)
• Health screening as compliance tool (✅ Fitness tests, vaccine restrictions)
• Economic genetics through healthcare rationing (✅ Prior auth, access barriers)

🟣 Stage 8: Military Expansion and International Aggression – 🚨 30% COMPLETE
✅ Military attacks on foreign targets: US Navy sank Venezuelan vessel September 2, killing 11; Trump posted strike footage on Truth Social as other nations condemned attack as a violation of international law.
✅ Military occupation of foreign territories: Three warships and 4,000 sailors/Marines deployed to Venezuelan coast for "anti-cartel operations."
✅ Nuclear weapons positioning: Two nuclear submarines deployed to "appropriate regions" after Russian threats; nuclear escalation preparation.
✅ Economic warfare expansion: Country-specific tariffs 10-41% on 60+ countries; systematic economic attack on global order.
✅ War posture: DOD renamed "Department of War".
✅ Deployment of military to liberal cities: National Guard sent to LA, Washington D.C., and soon Chicago; administration ignores court rulings that this violates the Posse Comitatus Act.
✅ International institution withdrawal: WTO funding suspended indefinitely; systematic withdrawal from international law.
✅ Military escalation rhetoric: Defense Secretary indicates military operations against cartels will continue; expansion planned.
🚧 Full-scale invasion preparation: Military infrastructure and willingness demonstrated; escalation appears imminent.

🚨 Stage 8 CRITICAL WARNING - Military Expansion Active:
• International military attacks begun (✅ Venezuelan vessel attack)
• Foreign territory occupation (✅ Venezuelan coast deployment)
• Nuclear weapons positioning (✅ Submarine deployment)
• International law rejection (✅ WTO withdrawal, court defiance)
• Economic warfare against allies (✅ Global tariff regime)
• Military expansion planning (✅ Continued operations announced)

🛡️ Civic Resistance Tracker – ❌ FAILING - Score, D+

❌ Judicial pushback: Supreme Court enables mass layoffs 8-1; Justice Jackson's lone dissent warns of institutional collapse but majority demonstrates "enthusiasm for greenlighting dubious actions."
❌ Academic resistance: Research grants frozen at NIH; universities unable to resist funding cuts; scientific community under systematic suppression.
🚫 Protests: Jeffries' record-breaking speech ineffective against tax bill passage; democratic procedures increasingly meaningless.
🚫 Political opposition: Even Musk's opposition to tax bill ignored; elite resistance fragmenting under economic pressure.
❌ Media pushback: Federal agencies forbidden from public messaging; independent journalism resource-starved and intimidated.
❌ International response: Colombian condemnation of military attack ignored; no coordinated international response to US aggression.
❌ Federal Reserve independence: Fed Governor Kugler resigned; Powell under direct attack; monetary policy independence collapsing.
❌ State government resistance: Texas-California gerrymandering war shows state-level conflict but no unified resistance. Some posturing by Governors Pritzker and Newsom; Texas lawmakers leave for Chicago. But, ultimately fights against gerrymandering expected to go to the Republicans.
✅ Citizen pushback: Six grand juries refused to indict citizens being charged with trumped up crimes.

September 2025 Critical Developments – Path to Collapse

Military Expansion Begins
•September 2: US Navy sank Venezuelan vessel, killing 11 suspected smugglers
• Trump posted strike footage on Truth Social showing missile attack
• 3 warships and 4,000 Marines deployed to Venezuelan coast
• 10 F-35 fighter jets deployed to Puerto Rico for regional operations
• Defense Secretary announces military operations will continue
• International condemnation from Colombia and Iran ignored

Economy Falters
• August jobs disaster: Only 22,000 added vs. 75,000 expected
• Unemployment hits 4.3%, highest since 2021
• Long-term unemployment surging, especially for workers 55+
• S&P 500 down 1.6% in single day, worst since May
• Federal Reserve forced into emergency rate cuts
• Fed Governor Kugler resignation gives Trump appointment power

Constitutional Government Collapse
• Supreme Court enables mass federal layoffs 8-1
• Justice Jackson's lone dissent warns of "wrecking ball" being released
• Universal injunction ban eliminates judicial oversight
• Federal courts rule tariffs illegal but they remain in effect
• 176 executive orders signed, unprecedented pace of unilateral action

Mass Deportation Infrastructure
• TPS ended for 900,000+ people from 5 countries
• $350 billion allocated for 10,000 new ICE agents
• Immigration raids continue despite federal court orders
• Supreme Court enables "largest de-legalization in modern era"
• Deportation attempts during Labor Day weekend blocked by courts

Federal Workforce Destruction
• At least 75,000 federal employees took deferred resignation
• Schedule F revival strips civil service protections
• 10,000 positions cut at health agencies
• 40% IRS workforce reduction planned
• Medical research grants frozen affecting critical diseases

Social Safety Net Elimination
• Over $1 trillion welfare cuts affecting 4.7 million SNAP recipients
• Social Security field offices closing, forcing 100+ mile travel
• Medicare requiring prior authorization to deny benefits
• COVID vaccine access restricted despite health risks
• Healthcare data breach exposed 193 million people

International Economic Warfare
• Tariffs 10-41% on 60+ countries effective August 7
• De minimis exemption ended, all shipments face tariffs
• $1,300 average household tax increase from trade war
• WTO funding suspended indefinitely•
Global markets in chaos, European stocks down 1.3%

Authoritarian Regime Trajectory Assessment
TRAJECTORY: Path 2 - Hyper-Radicalization and Collapse (5-15 years)
Probability: 85%
The September 2 military attack on Venezuela marks the beginning of Stage 8 military expansion. Combined with economic slowdown (4.3% unemployment, recession fears), constitutional breakdown (judicial capitulation), and systematic targeting of 40-50% of the population, all indicators point toward the hyper-radicalization trajectory that historically leads to regime collapse within 5-15 years.

Critical Factors Indicating Collapse Path:
• Military aggression against foreign targets begun
• Economic irrationality overriding survival instincts
• Too many enemies created simultaneously (immigrants, LGBTQ+, disabled, political opponents)
• International law violations risk isolating regime
• Constitutional institutions captured rather than co-opted
• Nuclear weapons positioning suggesting escalation readiness

Timeline Projection:
• 2025-2027: Economic issues, military expansion
• 2027-2030: International confrontation, elite fragmentation
• 2030-2035: Regime collapse through war, economic breakdown, or internal coup

Alternative Scenarios (15% combined):
• Elite revolt if economic losses become severe enough
• Military intervention if constitutional crisis deepens
• International intervention if nuclear escalation occurs
• State-level resistance if federal authority collapses